Iga Swiatek vs Anna Kalinskaya Prediction, Tips, News, Odds: 15/8/2025

Third seed Iga Swiatek will face 28th seed Anna Kalinskaya in the quarter-finals of the 2025 Cincinnati Open — their second career meeting and first since Kalinskaya upset Swiatek in Dubai last season. The winner of this clash will move on to face either Aryna Sabalenka or Elena Rybakina in the semi-finals.

Swiatek Arrives Fresh and in Form

Swiatek booked her spot in the last eight after dispatching Sorana Cirstea in straight sets, her second such win of the tournament. She also benefitted from a third-round walkover, meaning she comes into this match considerably fresher than her opponent.

Currently ranked world No. 3, Swiatek has the chance to climb back to No. 2 if she lifts the title in Cincinnati. Her season record stands at an impressive 46-12, with seven wins from ten quarter-final appearances. On hard courts alone, she has secured 25 victories in 32 matches this year — further underlining her adaptability and consistency on the surface.

Kalinskaya Chasing Another Upset

Kalinskaya’s only previous meeting with Swiatek ended in a straight-sets win for the Russian during the Dubai Championships semi-final in 2024. That victory propelled her to her first WTA 1000 final, and she will be looking to repeat history — this time with hopes of converting it into a title run.

Since the tour returned to hard courts, Kalinskaya has posted nine wins in eleven matches, including a runner-up finish in Washington. In Cincinnati, she battled past 12th seed Ekaterina Alexandrova in three sets in the fourth round. However, she has already spent over four more hours on court than Swiatek this week, which could be a factor in a long, physical contest.

Betting Outlook and Key Stats

• Odds:
• Swiatek win – 1.18 (Vbet), implied chance 57.24%
• Kalinskaya win – 5.50 (Bet365), implied chance 42.76%
• Key Points:
• Swiatek has 46 wins this season and is undefeated in Cincinnati so far.
• Kalinskaya leads the head-to-head 1–0, with that win coming on hard courts.
• Swiatek has been far more efficient this week, spending significantly less time on court.

Prediction

While Kalinskaya’s previous win over Swiatek gives her a psychological boost, the circumstances are very different this time. Swiatek’s dominant 2025 season form, her ability to close matches quickly, and her extra rest in Cincinnati all tip the balance in her favor.

If Swiatek maintains her current level, she should be able to control rallies and limit Kalinskaya’s counter-attacking chances. Given the physical toll on the Russian from earlier rounds, we expect the Polish star to close this out efficiently.

Prediction: Swiatek to win in straight sets. Projected Scoreline: 6-3, 6-2.