While Alaves are still in contention for a playoff spot, their recent form has been disappointing, managing just 12 points from their last 11 matches. In contrast, Real Madrid have enjoyed a strong run at home this season, winning 14 out of 19 games and scoring a total of 46 goals.
Alaves have been remarkably consistent in their LaLiga fixtures, with their last 13 matches all featuring three goals or fewer. Similarly, 16 of Real Madrid’s last 17 home games in the league have followed this low-scoring trend, making any departure from it quite unexpected.
Despite their high standards, Real Madrid’s defense has struggled recently, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last eight LaLiga matches and managing only two shutouts in their last 20 league games. Alaves, meanwhile, have both scored and conceded in six of their last eight top-tier matches, indicating a likely back-and-forth contest.
Prediction
Alaves’ away games in LaLiga have consistently featured under 3.5 goals, with this being the case in each of their last 17 matches. Given that Real Madrid’s home games have shown a similar trend in 16 of their last 19 outings, a low-scoring match seems probable.
Prediction: Real Madrid 1-1 Alaves