Preview: Newcastle vs Chelsea Prediction and betting odds: 11/5/2025

Newcastle United and Chelsea are set to face off in a pivotal Premier League encounter on Sunday, May 11, 2025, at 12:00 BST at St James’ Park. Both teams are level on 63 points, with Newcastle holding a slight edge in goal difference, making this match crucial in the race for Champions League qualification.

Newcastle United Overview

Under manager Eddie Howe, Newcastle have transformed into formidable contenders, particularly at home. They have secured 11 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses at St James’ Park this season. Their attacking prowess is evident, averaging 1.89 goals per game, while conceding 1.29 on average. Alexander Isak leads the team’s scoring charts with 23 league goals, supported by Jacob Murphy’s 11 assists.

In their recent match, Newcastle drew 1-1 away at Brighton, with Isak converting a late penalty to salvage a point. Prior to that, they achieved a convincing 3-0 home victory over Ipswich Town. Overall, Newcastle have won six of their last eight Premier League matches, demonstrating consistent form as they push for a top-four finish.

Chelsea Overview

Chelsea, managed by Enzo Maresca, enter this fixture on the back of a 3-1 home victory over Liverpool. Goals from Enzo Fernández, an own goal by Jarell Quansah, and a late penalty by Cole Palmer secured the win. This result keeps Chelsea firmly in the hunt for Champions League qualification, matching Newcastle’s point tally.

In European competition, Chelsea hold a commanding 4-1 lead over Djurgården in the UEFA Conference League semi-finals, with the second leg scheduled just days before the Newcastle clash. Maresca has utilized the tournament to integrate academy players, with eight making their debuts this season. The team aims to complete their collection of European trophies, having previously won both the Champions League and Europa League.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Insights

The last five encounters between Newcastle and Chelsea have been competitive, with Newcastle winning three and Chelsea two. Notably, Newcastle secured a 2-0 home victory in their most recent meeting.

Tactically, Newcastle’s high-pressing style under Howe has been effective, especially at home. Chelsea’s possession-based approach under Maresca emphasizes quick ball circulation and exploiting spaces, which could be challenged by Newcastle’s pressing.

Prediction

Given Newcastle’s strong home record and recent form, they may hold a slight advantage. However, Chelsea’s momentum from their European success and recent league victory suggests they will be formidable opponents. A closely contested match is anticipated, with both teams likely to score.

Prediction: Newcastle United 2-1 Chelsea