Paraguay vs Uruguay Preview, Prediction, news and odds: 6/6/2025

A pivotal World Cup qualifying match is set for Friday, June 6, 2025, as Paraguay welcome Uruguay to the Estadio Defensores del Chaco in Asunción. With both nations level on 21 points after 14 rounds of qualifiers, goal difference currently places Uruguay ahead in third, just above Paraguay in fifth. This match represents a significant opportunity for both teams to strengthen their position in the race to secure a spot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

Kickoff is scheduled for midnight (00:00), and the encounter is expected to be fiercely competitive. With qualification still in the balance for both teams, the result could have a lasting impact on the final standings in the CONMEBOL table.

Paraguay Overview

Paraguay have made their home ground a reliable source of points throughout the campaign. With five wins, one draw, and just a single defeat at the Estadio Defensores del Chaco, the Guaraníes have demonstrated strong performances when playing in front of their supporters. Their home strength has been a key component in keeping them within reach of the top four automatic qualification spots.

Most recently, Paraguay managed a 2-2 draw away against Colombia — a valuable result that reflects their resilience against top-tier opposition. Overall, the team has scored 11 goals and conceded only nine across 14 qualifiers, indicating a balanced structure that has allowed them to remain competitive.

Coach Daniel Garnero has instilled a tactically disciplined system that focuses on defensive solidity while allowing for controlled offensive transitions. Under his management, Paraguay have found ways to collect points even in low-scoring, tight contests — a common theme in South American qualifiers.

Uruguay Overview

Uruguay head into this match with an overall record of five wins, six draws, and three losses, but concerns remain over their away form. On the road, La Celeste have recorded just one victory, accompanied by four draws and two defeats. Their most recent outing, a 0-0 draw against Bolivia in La Paz, showed strong defensive organization but also highlighted a lack of cutting edge in the final third.

Despite these inconsistencies, Uruguay remain in a strong position, occupying third place by virtue of goal difference. They have outscored Paraguay over the course of the qualifiers, finding the net 17 times while conceding 10.

Under the guidance of Marcelo Bielsa, Uruguay have adopted a more aggressive, high-pressing style. Known for his emphasis on pace, direct transitions, and positional fluidity, Bielsa’s influence has added attacking dynamism to the squad. However, this approach can leave vulnerabilities, especially when met with structured, counter-attacking sides such as Paraguay.

Head-to-Head Record and Match Trends

The recent history between the two sides slightly favors Uruguay, who have won three of their last five encounters against Paraguay. Two of those matches, however, ended in draws — including their most recent meeting, which finished scoreless. These outcomes suggest that contests between the two nations are often closely fought and difficult to predict.

Current Momentum

Paraguay enter the match with notable momentum. They are unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions, securing three wins and two draws. This recent run has played a key role in maintaining their qualification hopes and boosting confidence within the squad.

Uruguay’s recent form has been more inconsistent, with one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five matches. While remaining difficult to beat, their inability to secure wins consistently could be a potential obstacle as the qualification campaign enters its final stretch.

Betting Outlook and Odds Overview

Bookmakers expect a close match, with Paraguay slightly favored to win. The odds for a home victory are currently at 2.57 with 1win, while a draw is offered at 2.94, and an away win for Uruguay is priced at 3.20.

Punters looking for added value may consider the “Both Teams to Score” market. Given both teams’ defensive strength and the nature of past meetings, the “No” option is currently priced at 1.66 with Melbet and may present the more secure wager. For those seeking higher risk, the “Yes” option stands at 2.20 with Paripesa.

Prediction

Taking all factors into account — including Paraguay’s strong home performances, Uruguay’s away challenges, and recent form trends — the edge may lie with the hosts. However, the historical balance between the sides and their similar qualification status suggest that the margin for error will be narrow.

Prediction: Narrow Home Win for Paraguay / Both Teams Not to Score