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Manchester United and Athletic Bilbao are set to meet in the second leg of their Europa League semi-final on Thursday, May 8, 2025, at Old Trafford. The English club enters the match with a 3-0 aggregate lead following a commanding victory in the first leg in Spain. With a spot in the final at stake, both teams are expected to deliver a competitive and high-tempo encounter under the floodlights.
Manchester United Overview
Manchester United have shown consistent strength throughout their Europa League campaign. The club remains unbeaten, having recorded eight wins and five draws, while scoring 31 goals and conceding 17. Their path to the semi-finals was built on disciplined performances and a potent attack, which has seen them outperform several top European sides.
In the revised league format, United secured 18 points and finished third in the overall standings with five wins and three draws. Their goal difference of +7 (16 goals scored, 9 conceded) during the league phase showcased their balance between offense and defense. Under the leadership of manager Rúben Amorim, the team has adapted to a more aggressive, high-pressing system, rooted in a 3-4-3 formation. Amorim’s tactics emphasize fluid transitions and direct attacking play, which have contributed to United’s high goal tally.
Despite a mixed run in their last five matches—two wins, one draw, and two defeats—the Red Devils carry a psychological advantage from the first leg and will count on home support at Old Trafford to close out the tie.
Bilbao Overview
Athletic Bilbao, now facing a three-goal deficit, enter the return leg needing a near-perfect performance. Their overall record in this season’s Europa League stands at eight wins, two draws, and three defeats. With 21 goals scored and 13 conceded, they have shown the ability to compete with Europe’s stronger sides, relying on a well-structured system and a tenacious squad.
In the league phase, Bilbao finished second with 19 points, winning six of their eight matches while conceding just seven goals. This disciplined defensive record was key to their progress. Manager Ernesto Valverde has instilled a pragmatic and intense playing style, blending the club’s traditional identity with adaptable European tactics.
Although their form has been relatively positive with three wins and two defeats from their last five matches, the heavy loss at home to Manchester United has left them with a steep challenge. Bilbao must adopt a more aggressive approach if they hope to stage a comeback, which may leave them exposed to counterattacks from United’s fast-paced offense.
Key Historical Context and Head-to-Head
The first-leg encounter at San Mamés saw Manchester United emerge with a 3-0 win, giving them firm control of the tie. Despite that result, previous meetings between the two clubs suggest a closer rivalry. Across their last four competitive clashes, Athletic Bilbao has secured two wins, Manchester United one, and one match ended in a draw.
This backdrop adds a historical edge to Thursday’s match. While United hold the current advantage, Bilbao’s past performances serve as a reminder that they are capable of producing surprises on the European stage.
Recent Results and Match Readiness
Manchester United’s current form includes two victories, one draw, and two losses. Their latest result, the 3-0 first-leg win over Bilbao, demonstrated their ability to capitalize on chances and control the tempo.
Athletic Bilbao, despite the setback in the opening leg, have three wins from their last five matches. The defeat to United will likely prompt a tactical rethink as they aim to claw back into the contest at Old Trafford.
Betting Odds and Strategy
For bettors evaluating the second leg, Manchester United are favored with odds of 2.13 to win, while a draw stands at 3.67 and a Bilbao victory at 3.66. These odds suggest confidence in United’s home advantage, but also reflect the potential for an upset.
The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market offers 1.78 for ‘Yes’ and 2.08 for ‘No’, pointing to expectations of an open game. With Bilbao needing goals and United capable of exploiting gaps on the counter, both teams scoring appears plausible.
For bettors seeking additional value, welcome bonus offers from major sportsbooks may enhance initial bets with free credits. These are especially popular ahead of high-profile matches like a European semi-final.
Prediction
Manchester United’s three-goal cushion puts them in a commanding position, especially with the second leg at home. Their attacking structure under Amorim and a strong record in the competition suggest they are well-equipped to reach the final.
Athletic Bilbao, however, have the tactical discipline and resilience to challenge United if they strike early. An aggressive start from the visitors could open the match, potentially increasing the goal count.
Despite the challenge, United are expected to manage the tie effectively. Their experience and firepower should be enough to secure their place in the final, even if Bilbao find the net.
Prediction: Manchester United 2 – 1 Athletic Bilbao
