Madison Keys vs Clara Tauson Prediction, Tips, Odds, Stats: 6/8/2025

Clara Tauson, the 16th seed at the Canadian Open, is on the hunt for another upset as she prepares to take on sixth-seeded Madison Keys in their highly anticipated quarterfinal clash. With a place in the semifinals at stake, this will be the pair’s second meeting this year—one that promises fireworks, given their recent form and rivalry.

Keys Aims for Another Canadian Deep Run

Madison Keys is no stranger to success in Montreal, having reached the final in 2016. The American enters this match riding the momentum of her third WTA 1000 quarterfinal of the season. She advanced by defeating 11th seed Karolina Muchova in a hard-fought three-setter, showcasing her determination and experience.

While Keys has shown strong form on hardcourts throughout 2025—winning 22 out of 25 matches—her performance in Montreal has been less than dominant. Despite securing two comeback victories, her slow starts have raised questions about her sharpness in this tournament.

Tauson on the Rise After Swiatek Shock

Clara Tauson arrives in the quarterfinals with considerable momentum. The Danish star, who already bested Keys earlier this year en route to lifting the Auckland title, has carried her impressive form into Montreal. She has not dropped a set in three matches and caused the biggest upset of the tournament so far by eliminating second seed Iga Swiatek in straight sets in the fourth round.

Now a Dubai finalist and sitting at 17th in the live WTA rankings, Tauson’s confidence is soaring. Her win over Swiatek marked her fourth victory against a top-10 player this year, underlining her ability to rise to big occasions.

Head-to-Head and Match Dynamics

The head-to-head favors Tauson 1–0 this year, and that win came without the loss of a set. Notably, Tauson has also had less court time than Keys in Montreal, saving her energy for later rounds—a factor that could prove crucial.

While Keys brings a wealth of experience and a past finalist’s pedigree to the table, her inconsistent form this week contrasts sharply with Tauson’s polished performances. If Keys can’t find her rhythm early, Tauson may once again take control of the encounter.

Prediction and Odds

According to odds from Vbet:

• Clara Tauson: 55.1% chance to win | Odds: 2.22
• Madison Keys: 44.9% chance to win | Odds: 1.71

Tauson enters as the slight favorite due to her recent high-profile victory and more consistent tournament form.

Key Match Insights

• Tauson has already defeated Keys once this season.
• Tauson holds an 18–6 record on hardcourts in 2025.
• She has earned four top-10 wins this year.
• Keys has spent an additional hour on court in Montreal compared to Tauson.

Prediction

Clara Tauson appears primed to extend her winning streak and book her spot in the semifinals. Keys, while always a threat, hasn’t quite looked at her best and may struggle to contain Tauson’s power and precision if she doesn’t start strong.

Prediction: Clara Tauson to win the match.