Luxembourg’s games are often low-scoring, with 11 of their last 15 matches featuring two goals or fewer, a strategy that has proven effective in their current campaign. Similarly, Bulgaria has seen 10 of their last 11 away games in the second tier end with under 2.5 goals, so a similar outcome is likely here.
Bulgaria’s away games rarely see both teams scoring, with only one of their last seven UEFA Nations League trips featuring goals at both ends. Luxembourg has also maintained tight defense at home, with at least one team keeping a clean sheet in 10 of their last 13 home matches.
Prediction
Bulgaria’s last six Nations League matches have all seen under 2.5 goals, with just seven total goals scored in these games. Given that seven of Luxembourg’s previous nine home games have followed the same trend, it seems likely this match will end with no more than two goals.
Prediction: Luxembourg 0 : 0 Bulgaria