Lazio vs Napoli Prediction: 5/12/2024

Lazio will host Napoli in a Coppa Italia clash on Thursday, looking to bounce back from their recent Serie A defeat.

Lazio
Recent form: WWWWDL

Lazio will be eager to recover from their 3-1 loss to Parma in their last match. Despite having 72% possession and 23 shots on goal, Lazio only managed to get one goal, scored by Valentín Castellanos (80′). Parma, with 12 shots, found the back of the net three times through Dennis Man (6′), Anas Haj Mohamed (53′), and Enrico Delprato (90′).

Lazio has been strong defensively in recent games, conceding only three goals in their last six matches. However, it’s uncertain if this solid defensive form will continue against Napoli.

SSC Napoli
Recent form: WWLDWW

Napoli will enter this match on the back of a 1-0 victory over Torino. They held 52% possession and registered 16 shots, six of which were on target. Scott McTominay’s goal in the 31st minute was the only one of the match. Torino had five shots but only one on target.

In their last six matches, Napoli has been involved in low-scoring encounters, with an average of just 1.5 goals per game. Napoli’s attack has averaged only 0.83 goals per game during this period.

Head-to-Head
Looking at their recent meetings since November 2021, Napoli leads the head-to-head with three wins to Lazio’s two, and there has been one draw. A total of 14 goals have been scored in these matches, with Napoli contributing 9 goals and Lazio 5. The average number of goals per game is 2.33.

Their most recent league encounter on January 28, 2024, ended in a 0-0 draw. Lazio had 39% possession and 10 attempts on goal, but only one was on target. Napoli had five attempts but none on target.

Team News: Lazio
Lazio will be without Matías Vecino (thigh injury), Boulaye Dia (ankle injury), Gaetano Castrovilli (arthroscopy), and Nuno Tavares (hamstring injury) for this match.

Team News: Napoli
Napoli has almost a full squad available, with only Pasquale Mazzocchi (calf muscle tear) missing due to injury.

Prediction

We believe Lazio will manage to score while keeping Napoli at bay. A 1-0 win for Lazio is expected in what should be a closely contested match.

Experts predict under 3.5 goals for this game.