This match holds significant stakes for both teams, with Italy fighting to avoid relegation and France aiming to secure a playoff spot. Although their goals differ, both teams have a tendency to draw, with Italy managing six ties in their last 12 home games at this level and France finding a stable position in the UEFA Nations League standings.
While Italy is known for its dynamic attacking style, recent trends show that 18 of their last 20 UEFA Nations League games have had three or fewer goals. France’s matches have followed a similar pattern, with 19 of their previous 20 games also staying under the 3.5-goal mark, suggesting a likely continuation when they meet.
Italy has been consistent in both scoring and conceding over their last 11 top-flight games, and France has shown similar form, with both teams scoring in five of their last six matches. This suggests that clean sheets might be rare in this encounter.
Prediction
Despite France’s past wins, each of their last 39 top-tier away games has seen three goals or fewer. Similarly, Italy’s last 24 UEFA Nations League games have stayed under the 3.5-goal threshold, underscoring the likelihood of a low-scoring match.
Prediction: Italy 1 – 1 France