Australia vs. Lebanon: Football prediction

Australia vs. Lebanon: Football prediction


After their departure from the World Cup in June, the Australian national soccer team has seen limited action, competing in just two matches. Nonetheless, they have maintained an unbeaten record during this period. A little over a month ago, they decisively defeated Kuwait with a score of 4-0, and achieved a commendable draw against South Korea only three days prior. Under the guidance of Graham Arnold, the team aims to continue their positive momentum by securing a victory against Lebanon, a team ranked 79 spots below them in the global standings.

Australia’s World Cup journey concluded at its initial phase, yet their performance on the field was commendable. They narrowly lost to the tournament champions by a single goal and displayed respectable competitiveness throughout. Their 1-1 draw against Denmark might have ended in their favor under different circumstances, and their loss to Peru in their third match was also marked by misfortune.

Post-World Cup, the Socceroos have not faced significant challenges, but their recent match against South Korea showcased their capabilities. Their dominating victory over Kuwait, who had also faced Lebanon, indicates Australia’s potential to overpower their upcoming opponents.

In their match against Kuwait, Australia demonstrated their superiority by consistently creating scoring opportunities and converting them into goals. They recorded an impressive expected goals (xG) of 2.87 while limiting Kuwait to just 0.32 xG. Anticipating a similar performance against Lebanon, a team that struggled against Kuwait, Australia is expected to comfortably win once more.

Lebanon’s performance was less impressive against Kuwait, where they lost 1-0 and failed to significantly challenge their opponents, evidenced by their low shot count and expected goals. Comparatively, Australia’s superior expected-goal advantage and shot count against the same opponent highlight their strength.

Considering the teams’ respective performances against Kuwait, betting on Australia to score over 2.5 goals seems like a promising option, especially given their recent offensive output and expected goals statistic against a comparable team. The Socceroos are favored to excel in their attacking efforts once again.

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