Corinthians vs São Paulo Prediction: 16/6/2024

Corinthians will face São Paulo at Neo Química Arena in a Serie A match on Sunday.

Corinthians
Corinthians are coming off a 2-2 draw against Atlético Goianiense in their last Serie A match. During that game, Corinthians had 28% possession and took 7 shots, with 3 on target. Their goals came from Yuri Alberto (15′, 62′) and an own goal by Cacá (66′). Atlético Goianiense, on the other hand, had 22 attempts with 7 on target, and Shaylon scored for them in the 92nd minute.

A recurring pattern in recent Corinthians games is the number of matches where both teams did not score. In 5 of their last 6 games, betting on both teams to score would have resulted in a loss. We’ll see if this trend continues.

Pre-match statistics for Corinthians indicate:
– They have not beaten São Paulo in their last 6 league encounters.
– They have not won at home in their last 2 league matches.

São Paulo
São Paulo enters this match following a 2-0 win against Cruzeiro in their most recent Serie A game. São Paulo had 55% possession and 11 shots, with 4 on target. Their goals were scored by Lucas Moura (5′) and Jonathan Calleri (48′). Cruzeiro managed 10 attempts with 3 on target.

São Paulo’s defense has been solid, conceding just 2 goals in their last 6 matches while scoring 11 themselves.

Historical performance shows that São Paulo:
– Have not won away against Corinthians in their last 11 league matches, a notably poor run.
– Have not lost to Corinthians in their last 3 away league matches.

Head-to-Head
Looking at the recent head-to-head meetings since May 22, 2022, Corinthians have won 1 game, São Paulo have won 2, and 3 matches have ended in a draw. There have been 14 goals scored in these fixtures, with Corinthians netting 6 and São Paulo scoring 8, averaging 2.33 goals per game.

The last league match between the two teams was on September 30, 2023, where São Paulo won 2-1. In that match, São Paulo had 54% possession and 22 shots, with 8 on target. Jonathan Calleri scored twice (40′, 45′), while Corinthians managed 6 shots with 2 on target, with a goal from Ángel Romero (3′). The match was refereed by Flavio Rodrigues de Souza.

Prediction
We anticipate a closely contested match with both teams likely to score. A draw seems a likely outcome. Therefore, we predict a tight 1-1 draw.

Our expert partners suggest betting on over 1.5 goals for this match.