Francisco Comesana vs Mattia Bellucci Prediction, Tips, Stats, Odds: 19/8/2025

The opening round of the ATP Winston-Salem Open promises a tightly contested matchup as Francisco Comesana takes on Mattia Bellucci. The winner of this encounter will move on to face 12th seed Jaume Munar, setting the stage for what could be a challenging second-round battle.

Comesana’s Rising Momentum

Francisco Comesana, best known for his clay-court performances, has recently demonstrated that he can also adapt effectively to hard courts. At just 24 years old, the Argentine is enjoying a breakthrough season. His most recent outing came at the Cincinnati Masters, where he impressed with wins over Reilly Opelka and Luciano Darderi before eventually falling to world-class opponent Andrey Rublev in the fourth round.

Comesana currently holds a 7–6 record on hard courts in 2025 and reached the third round of last year’s US Open, highlighted by a notable victory against top-20 player Ugo Humbert. These performances have helped him climb to a career-high ranking of world No. 55, giving him a 17-place advantage over Bellucci in the live standings.

Bellucci’s Recent Struggles

Like his opponent, Mattia Bellucci is also 24 but comes into this contest on less convincing form. He has recorded 11 wins from 23 hard-court matches this season, yet many of his better results have come at Challenger level rather than on the ATP Tour. At the Cincinnati Masters, he bowed out in the first round, and his subsequent run at a Challenger event ended with a semifinal defeat to Jaime Faria, a player ranked outside the top 110.

Bellucci’s 2025 hard-court campaign has been inconsistent. His best showing came with a semifinal run in Rotterdam, but since then he has struggled to advance beyond the second round of ATP Tour events. Early exits at both the Canadian Open (where he retired in the deciding set) and Cincinnati underline his lack of rhythm heading into Winston-Salem.

Key Match Factors

This clash is expected to hinge on Comesana’s ability to carry his recent momentum from Cincinnati into the Winston-Salem courts. His confidence, improved serve, and shot-making on faster surfaces give him an edge over an opponent struggling to find consistency. For Bellucci, rediscovering the form that took him deep in Rotterdam will be essential, but his recent losses—including one to a player ranked well outside the top 100—raise doubts.

Head-to-Head Key Points:

• Comesana reached the fourth round at Cincinnati this month.
• Bellucci has lost his last three ATP Tour matches.
• Bellucci’s most recent defeat came against a player ranked outside the top 110.
• Comesana reached the US Open third round last year, defeating Ugo Humbert.
• Betting Odds and Probabilities

According to bookmakers, this matchup is almost evenly balanced, though Comesana holds a slight edge:

• Comesana to win: 50.75% chance (Odds: 1.73, Bet365)
• Bellucci to win: 49.25% chance (Odds: 2.20, William Hill)

These narrow margins suggest a competitive contest, but Comesana’s stronger recent performances tilt the scales in his favor.

Prediction

Comesana’s upward trajectory on hard courts and his proven ability to compete against higher-ranked opposition make him the safer pick here. While Bellucci has talent, his inconsistency and recent struggles suggest he may fall short against a confident opponent.

Final Prediction: Francisco Comesana to win