Chelsea vs Liverpool Match Preview, Prediction and odds: 4/5/2025

The Premier League calendar brings a high-stakes encounter as Chelsea welcome Liverpool to Stamford Bridge on Sunday, May 4, 2025. Scheduled for a 16:30 kickoff, this Matchday 35 fixture carries major implications for both teams, with title ambitions and European qualification on the line. Liverpool enter the match leading the league with 79 points from 33 matches, while Chelsea, fifth in the table with 60 points from 34 games, aim to strengthen their bid for a top-four finish and a return to Champions League football.

Despite Liverpool’s commanding position, Chelsea’s consistent home performances suggest they remain a serious threat in this matchup. The Blues have secured 10 home wins this season and are unbeaten in four of their last five games across all competitions. Their home advantage and recent momentum have led to predictions of a potential upset against the league leaders.

Chelsea Overview

Chelsea’s 2024–25 campaign has been marked by both progress and inconsistency. With 17 wins, 9 draws, and 8 defeats, they find themselves on the fringe of Champions League qualification. At home, their form has been particularly encouraging, recording just two defeats in 17 matches played at Stamford Bridge. Most recently, they claimed a 1-0 home win over Everton, a result that has further fueled optimism heading into this top-six encounter.

Under the leadership of Vincenzo Maresca, Chelsea have adopted a more possession-driven style of play. Emphasizing fluid ball movement and rapid transitional attacks, Maresca’s tactical system has enabled the team to score 59 goals while conceding 40 in the league. Though effective in creating chances, this approach has occasionally exposed the defense, an area that Liverpool’s forwards may look to exploit.

In recent weeks, Chelsea’s form has stabilized, with three victories, a draw, and one loss in their last five matches. This upturn, combined with the club’s historically strong performances in home fixtures, positions them as potential spoilers in Liverpool’s pursuit of the title.

Liverpool Overview

Liverpool arrive at Stamford Bridge with their title hopes intact and form that reflects their determination. Their record of 24 wins, 7 draws, and only 2 defeats across the campaign has solidified their place at the top of the table. With a goal difference of +44, they’ve proven dominant at both ends of the pitch, scoring 75 goals while conceding only 31.

Away from Anfield, Liverpool have been particularly effective, collecting 11 wins and just one defeat in 17 road matches. Their most recent result — a 5-1 demolition of Tottenham — demonstrated the team’s attacking sharpness and tactical execution. This level of performance comes as no surprise under head coach Arend Martijn Slot, who has maintained Liverpool’s high-pressing, fast-tempo style while introducing new patterns of play designed to maximize efficiency and control.

Slot’s system has successfully drawn on the squad’s athleticism and technical quality, producing consistent performances throughout the season. As they prepare to take on Chelsea, the visitors will look to replicate the performance that saw them defeat the Blues 2-1 in their last meeting.

Recent Head-to-Head and Match Outlook

The rivalry between Chelsea and Liverpool has intensified in recent seasons, with the Merseyside club holding the upper hand in their most recent meetings. Over the last five encounters across all competitions, Liverpool have claimed three wins, with the remaining two matches ending in draws. Chelsea have not registered a win in those games, a record they will be eager to change on Sunday.

The last time these sides met, Liverpool emerged with a 2-1 home win, further emphasizing the scale of Chelsea’s challenge. However, this upcoming fixture presents different conditions. With Chelsea at home and showing improved cohesion, the match offers a far more balanced outlook than the previous encounter.

Prediction

The match is expected to be closely contested, with both teams possessing strong attacking options. Analysts predict goals on both sides, based on recent scoring trends and the styles employed by both managers. Betting markets reflect this competitiveness: odds favoring a Chelsea win currently stand at 2.30, a draw at 3.61, and a Liverpool victory at 3.18. For those backing both teams to score, current odds hover around 1.50 for “Yes” and 2.60 for “No.”

Despite Liverpool’s superior league position and recent form, Chelsea’s reliable performances at home suggest they are well-positioned to cause an upset. With the potential for goals, tactical intrigue, and high stakes for both clubs, this fixture is set to be one of the standout matches of the season’s final stretch.

Prediction: Chelsea 1–0 Liverpool