Bolivia vs Chile Preview, Prediction, News, Lineups: 10/6/2025

Bolivia and Chile are set to meet in a crucial South American World Cup qualifying fixture on Tuesday, June 10, 2025, at 21:00 local time. This 16th-round encounter will be held at Bolivia’s high-altitude home venue, a setting known to challenge visiting teams. With the CONMEBOL table tightening, both sides are under pressure to deliver, although they arrive at this match in contrasting form.

Bolivia sits in 8th place with 14 points from 14 matches, maintaining a slim hope of climbing toward the qualification zone. Chile, meanwhile, is bottom of the standings, with only 10 points from 15 games and their campaign hanging by a thread. For both nations, this fixture represents one of the final opportunities to shift momentum.

Bolivia Overview

Bolivia has produced a mixed campaign so far, registering 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses. They have scored 14 goals while conceding 30, an imbalance that reflects defensive fragility despite moments of attacking promise. However, their performances at home in La Paz offer a stark contrast to their overall record. With 3 wins, 2 draws, and just 2 defeats at home, Bolivia has proven difficult to beat when playing in the extreme altitude conditions of the Andes.

Their last match ended in a 2–0 loss away to Venezuela, a result that highlighted Bolivia’s ongoing difficulties on the road. Nevertheless, back in familiar conditions, they are expected to approach the Chile clash with renewed confidence. Historically, the Bolivian team has leveraged its altitude advantage effectively, often securing results against more highly rated opponents who struggle with the demanding physical environment.

Managerial tactics have focused on direct attacking transitions and compact defending when out of possession. While Bolivia has not been the most consistent side in qualifying, they have maintained resilience at home, which could prove decisive in this encounter.

Chile Overview

Chile’s qualification journey has been marred by poor results and a lack of offensive output. With just 2 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, the Chilean side finds itself at the foot of the CONMEBOL standings. They have managed only 9 goals across 15 matches while conceding 22, underlining struggles at both ends of the pitch.

Away matches have been particularly problematic, with no wins and only one draw from seven attempts on the road. Six defeats in those fixtures reflect a consistent inability to adapt to hostile environments—something that does not bode well ahead of a trip to La Paz.

Chile’s most recent match resulted in a narrow 1–0 defeat at home to Argentina, a performance that, while competitive, did little to change the overall trajectory of their campaign. Head coach Ricardo Gareca, appointed to reinvigorate the team, faces a significant challenge in turning things around. Known for leading Peru to the World Cup in 2018, Gareca brings experience and tactical acumen, but the current squad has yet to fully respond to his methods.

Head-to-Head and Recent Performances

The last time these two sides met, Bolivia stunned Chile with a 2–1 victory on the road. That result will provide confidence for the Bolivians as they prepare for the rematch. However, the overall head-to-head record from their last five meetings shows a slight edge for Chile, with two wins, one loss, and two draws.

Recent form further illustrates the teams’ contrasting momentum. Bolivia is winless in their last five outings, recording two draws and three defeats, most recently falling 2–0 to Venezuela. Chile has fared marginally better in the same period, collecting two wins, one draw, and two defeats. Still, their inability to perform away from home remains a major obstacle.

Betting Market Insights and Predictions

Bookmakers have identified Bolivia as the more likely victor in this encounter, largely due to their solid home record and Chile’s travel woes. 1win offers odds of 1.94 for a Bolivia win, while the draw is priced at 3.64. A Chile win is considered the least probable, with odds at 4.34.

Another market of interest is the “Both Teams to Score” category. Given Chile’s low goal tally and Bolivia’s relatively strong defensive showings at home, betting against both teams scoring could offer value. Melbet lists this option at 1.84 for “No.”

For those exploring additional betting opportunities, several platforms offer welcome bonuses and free bets for new users. These promotions can be used to place wagers on high-stakes matches like this one, providing additional incentives for engagement.

Prediction

This World Cup qualifying fixture presents a classic case of home advantage versus away vulnerability. Bolivia’s strong performances at high altitude, coupled with Chile’s consistent failures on the road, tilt the balance in favor of the hosts. While Chile remains mathematically alive in the qualification race, the reality of their situation and their poor form suggests a challenging path ahead.

The likelihood of a low-scoring match also appears high, given the offensive struggles on both sides. Bolivia’s record at home makes them the more likely team to secure the win, especially if they can strike early and manage the game defensively.

Prediction: Bolivia 2–1 Chile