Estonia has faced significant challenges in recent top-tier away games, conceding ten goals across their last four matches and failing to earn any points. Azerbaijan, on the other hand, has shown strong form at home, winning ten of their past 13 games at this level and achieving six consecutive clean sheets.
Low-scoring matches have been typical for Azerbaijan, with each of their last 13 home games in the UEFA Nations League featuring under 3.5 goals. This pattern extends to 18 of their last 19 home games overall. Estonia’s games have followed a similar trend, with their last 25 fixtures also seeing fewer than 3.5 goals scored.
Recent Azerbaijan home matches in the UEFA Nations League’s second tier have included a fair amount of scoring, with a total of 19 goals in their last six games and no clean sheets. Meanwhile, both teams have managed to score in six of Estonia’s last seven away games at this level, suggesting both goalkeepers may be tested in this encounter.
Prediction
Azerbaijan has maintained a streak of 32 straight home games in the UEFA Nations League featuring fewer than 3.5 goals. Similarly, 19 of Estonia’s last 20 away games have stayed within this scoring range, so a high-scoring match would be unexpected.
Prediction: Azerbaijan 1 : 1 Estonia