Amanda Anisimova vs Iga Swiatek Prediction, Tips, Stats and Odds: 12/7/2025

 

Wimbledon 2025 will see a brand-new name etched into the women’s singles champions list as eighth-seeded Iga Swiatek takes on 13th seed Amanda Anisimova in Saturday’s highly anticipated final. It’s the eighth consecutive edition of the tournament to crown a first-time champion in the women’s draw, and both players arrive with their own compelling storylines and career milestones on the line.

For Swiatek, this marks her first final at the All England Club, while Anisimova becomes the first American woman since Serena Williams in 2019 to reach the Wimbledon final. The winner will claim not only a maiden Wimbledon crown, but also cement their place in the sport’s elite.

Swiatek’s Breakthrough Grass Court Season

For much of her career, grass has been the surface where Iga Swiatek struggled to shine. That changed dramatically in 2025.

After reaching the final in Bad Homburg earlier this season, Swiatek carried her improved form into Wimbledon, where she has looked increasingly dominant with each round. The Polish star entered the tournament without a semifinal appearance to her name at SW19, but now stands just one match away from becoming the first Polish woman ever to lift the Wimbledon trophy.

Her record this grass season speaks volumes: nine wins from ten matches, with her only defeat coming in the Bad Homburg final against Jessica Pegula. At Wimbledon, Swiatek has dropped just one set and has cruised through her last four matches in straight sets. Most recently, she dismantled Belinda Bencic 6–2, 6–0 in the semifinals, dropping just nine games in her last two matches combined.

Victory on Saturday would elevate Swiatek to No. 3 in the WTA rankings and further enhance her already stellar Grand Slam resume.

Anisimova’s Gritty Rise to First Grand Slam Final

Amanda Anisimova’s road to the Wimbledon final has been longer and more grueling—but no less impressive. After failing to get through qualifying just last year, the American has enjoyed a renaissance in 2025. Her strong run includes a WTA 1000 title on hard courts earlier in the year and a final appearance at Queen’s Club on grass.

She has now won 12 of her 14 grass-court matches this season and enters the final at a career-best live ranking of world No. 7.

Anisimova’s semifinal victory was her most significant yet, as she stunned world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka in a tense three-set contest. It was the third time in this tournament that Anisimova went the distance in a match, showcasing both her resilience and fighting spirit. If she lifts the trophy, she will become the first American woman to win Wimbledon since Serena Williams in 2016.

Stats, Serving, and Surface Suitability

Despite having played 27 more games than Swiatek during the tournament, Anisimova has only spent 32 additional minutes on court—a testament to the efficiency of both players. Neither has reported injury concerns ahead of the final.

This will be the first career meeting between Swiatek and Anisimova, adding another layer of unpredictability to the matchup. Analysts have suggested that the slightly slower pace of this year’s Wimbledon courts has played to Swiatek’s strengths, allowing her to control rallies from the baseline more effectively—much like she does on clay. Notably, Swiatek’s semifinal featured a perfect 100% net point conversion rate, showcasing the versatility in her evolving grass-court game.

When it comes to serving, Swiatek again holds the edge. She’s hit fewer double faults than Anisimova—five to the American’s 11 across their last two matches—and has consistently served at a higher speed. Unforced errors could also be a deciding factor; Anisimova made 42 in her semifinal alone, a number she can’t afford to repeat in a Grand Slam final.

Key Match Stats

• Swiatek has won her last four Wimbledon matches in straight sets.
• She has won eight of her nine grass-court victories this year without dropping a set.
• Anisimova has lost a set in three of her last four matches.
• Swiatek has surrendered just 19 games in her last four matches combined.
• This is Swiatek’s fifth Grand Slam final—she’s never lost one. For Anisimova, it’s her first.

Prediction

Anisimova’s journey to her first Grand Slam final has been a testament to her resilience and grit. She’s battled past top-tier opponents and shown the capacity to rally from behind. But finals bring new pressures—and against a player like Swiatek, who’s never lost a Grand Slam final, nerves could prove decisive.

Swiatek, on the other hand, appears to have finally found her footing on grass. With each match, she’s grown more confident and commanding. Her ability to dominate both from the baseline and at the net gives her multiple paths to victory. Combine that with her superior serving and lower error rate, and it’s clear she enters Saturday’s final as the favorite.

Prediction: Iga Swiatek to win in straight sets.