Bologna vs Freiburg Prediction, Preview, Odds: 2/10/2025

The Europa League group stage brings an intriguing showdown on October 2, 2025, as Bologna welcome Freiburg to the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara. Both teams come into the contest with contrasting approaches and recent form, setting the stage for a tightly contested encounter.

Bologna’s Momentum and Setbacks

Thiago Motta’s Bologna have endured a mixed start to the season, but recent performances hint at a team growing into their rhythm. A spirited win over VfB Stuttgart showcased their ability to rise to the occasion, even if a narrow defeat to Roma underscored lingering inconsistencies. Motta’s tactical setup emphasizes possession and vertical play, with quick transitions often catching opponents unprepared.

However, Bologna will have to navigate the absence of several key players. Veterans such as Ciro Immobile, Emil Holm, Nicolo Casale, and Tommaso Pobega remain sidelined with muscle and thigh injuries, forcing Motta to lean more heavily on his younger stars. Riccardo Orsolini’s creativity on the wing and Joshua Zirkzee’s movement up front will be crucial in breaking down Freiburg’s compact defense.

Freiburg’s Strengths and Vulnerabilities

Christian Streich’s Freiburg arrive in Italy with a steadier record but not without concerns. Recent results include a convincing win over Altach and a hard-fought draw against Osasuna, yet a 1-3 loss to Augsburg highlighted defensive lapses that Bologna will look to exploit. Streich’s side blends high pressing with disciplined defensive blocks, though cracks in their backline have become more frequent in recent outings.

Freiburg also face a notable absence in midfield creator Daniel-Kofi Kyereh, whose unavailability limits their options in buildup play. Even so, the German club retains firepower: Michael Gregoritsch remains a reliable target man, while Vincenzo Grifo offers versatility and guile from wide areas. Together, they give Freiburg the tools to punish Bologna if afforded too much space.

Tactical Battle and Key Factors

The contrast in styles between these two teams may define the match. Bologna’s patient buildup and emphasis on vertical passes will test Freiburg’s ability to maintain compactness under pressure. Meanwhile, Freiburg’s reliance on pressing and counter-attacks could expose Bologna’s defensive line, particularly if transitions are poorly managed.

Home advantage tips the balance slightly toward the Italians. Bologna have scored eight goals in their last five matches and have generally thrived at the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara. Freiburg, by comparison, have conceded in four of their last five outings, suggesting vulnerability that Bologna’s attack is poised to exploit.

Prediction: Narrow Win for Bologna

Given both sides’ tendency to both score and concede, goals are almost guaranteed. Bologna’s ability to capitalize on defensive lapses, coupled with Freiburg’s counter-attacking threat, points to a close contest decided by fine margins. Expect Bologna to start brightly, Freiburg to claw their way back into the match, and the hosts to edge it late.

Predicted Score: Bologna 2 – 1 Freiburg

The Italians’ discipline and attacking depth should see them claim three vital points, though Freiburg will ensure the outcome is anything but straightforward.