Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction: 27/9/2025 – Preview, News, Odds

The Madrid Derby is back on September 27, 2025, as Atlético Madrid welcome Real Madrid to the Wanda Metropolitano. Always one of the most intense fixtures in Spanish football, this edition carries extra weight, with Real looking to extend their flawless start to the season and Atlético aiming to steady themselves after an inconsistent opening run.

Atlético Madrid’s Early-Season Struggles

Diego Simeone’s men have had a patchy start to their LaLiga campaign, collecting just five points from their first four games. Their 2-0 win over Villarreal last weekend showed flashes of the familiar grit and counterattacking bite that have long defined Simeone’s era, but inconsistency remains an issue.

The biggest setback for Atlético is the absence of Thiago Almada. The Argentine playmaker, who has impressed since arriving in the summer, suffered a muscle injury during international duty and will be unavailable. His absence leaves a creative gap in midfield, forcing Simeone to rely more heavily on defensive organization and direct play in transition.

Real Madrid’s Perfect Start

In stark contrast, Real Madrid have started the season in flawless form. Xabi Alonso’s side sit atop the LaLiga table with four wins from four, highlighted by convincing victories over Espanyol, Marseille, and Real Sociedad. Their midfield trio of Eduardo Camavinga, Federico Valverde, and Jude Bellingham has been instrumental, blending energy, control, and attacking thrust.

Alonso has warned his squad not to underestimate Atlético, reminding them that derby form often defies logic. Yet, with Almada sidelined, Real’s midfield dominance could become the decisive factor in tilting the game their way.

Derby History and Recent Meetings

The Madrid Derby has historically delivered drama and fine margins. In their last six head-to-heads across all competitions, both sides have recorded two victories each, with two draws. Atlético’s last triumph at home against Real came earlier this year in the Champions League, when they edged a 1-0 victory built on defensive discipline.

Real, however, come into this clash riding a wave of momentum, with seven consecutive wins in all competitions. Their form suggests a team that not only knows how to attack but also how to close out tight matches.

Prediction: Real Madrid Edge the Battle

Given current form, squad depth, and key absences, Real Madrid look the stronger of the two sides. Atlético may threaten through set pieces or counterattacks, but Real’s quality across midfield and attack should eventually prove too much.

Prediction: Atlético Madrid 1 – 3 Real Madrid

Expect a heated, physical encounter filled with intensity and fine margins — but also one where Real’s composure and clinical finishing ultimately carry the day.