Lebanon Faces One-Month Deadline on Weapons Issue Amid Rising Tensions

Lebanese authorities have reportedly been given a strict one-month deadline to resolve the ongoing weapons file, according to a new media report. The warning comes against the backdrop of mounting regional tensions, with the threat of Israeli escalation looming large.

Risk of Escalation and Airstrikes

Sources suggest that if Lebanon fails to comply within the set timeframe, it could face “a broad aerial attack” from Israel. The report emphasized that Israel is prepared to intensify military operations should progress on the disarmament issue stall. This development highlights how fragile the security situation has become and underlines the growing pressure on Beirut to act decisively.

U.S. Tightens Its Stance

Washington’s position on Lebanon has reportedly hardened in recent weeks. According to the report, this stricter U.S. stance has spurred an Iranian diplomatic initiative toward Saudi Arabia, mediated through Hezbollah. The move reflects Tehran’s interest in easing regional tensions while safeguarding its influence in Lebanon, even as U.S. patience appears to be running thin.

Ortagus Visit and Ceasefire Talks

Adding to the diplomatic pressure, U.S. envoy Morgan Ortagus is scheduled to arrive in Lebanon on Sunday. She will participate in a meeting of the ceasefire monitoring committee, which includes representatives from the U.S., France, Lebanon, Israel, and UNIFIL. Her agenda is expected to focus heavily on both the fragile ceasefire and the arms file, with observers anticipating a tougher and less flexible approach than in previous rounds of talks.

What This Means for Lebanon

The convergence of external pressure—from both Washington and Tel Aviv—places Lebanon in a precarious position. On one hand, failing to act could invite military escalation, while on the other, taking decisive steps risks deepening internal divisions, particularly given Hezbollah’s central role in the country’s political and security landscape.

With only weeks to respond, Lebanon’s leaders face a critical test of their ability to balance domestic stability with international expectations. How they navigate this deadline could shape not only the near-term security of the country but also its standing in broader regional dynamics.