Netherlands vs Poland Prediction, Preview, News, Odds: 4/9/2025

The Netherlands will host Poland in Rotterdam on September 4 as Group G of the 2026 World Championship qualifiers heats up. Both nations come into the clash with contrasting storylines: the Dutch riding a wave of momentum, and Poland searching for stability after a rocky start.

Dutch Form and Firepower

Ronald Koeman’s Netherlands have looked ruthless so far in qualifying, sweeping aside Malta and Lithuania with ten unanswered goals. Memphis Depay, who recently equaled Robin van Persie’s all-time scoring record for the Oranje, is expected to spearhead the attack once again. He will be supported by Cody Gakpo and Ryan Gravenberch, both of whom have been in strong form.

Despite the absence of Jeremie Frimpong through injury, the squad remains well-stocked. Virgil van Dijk continues to anchor the defense with authority, while midfielder Teun Koopmeiners is pushing for a recall after missing the opening fixtures. With depth across the pitch and a home crowd at De Kuip behind them, the Netherlands enter the game as clear favorites.

Poland’s Turbulent Rebuild

Poland’s qualifying campaign has been far less straightforward. A 2-1 defeat to Finland in Helsinki exposed lingering defensive frailties and cast doubt over the team’s cohesion. New manager Jan Urban, appointed after Michal Probierz’s resignation, faces the challenge of steadying a side in transition.

One of his first priorities has been to repair relations with Robert Lewandowski, who had been estranged from the national team setup. Reports suggest the Barcelona striker is ready to return, a major boost as Poland seek leadership and goals. Midfielder Piotr Zielinski, set to earn his 100th cap, will bring both experience and creativity in the center of the park. Alongside him, Karol Świderski and Jakub Kiwior provide flashes of quality, but consistency has been hard to find.

History and Outlook

The Netherlands have long had the upper hand in this fixture. They are unbeaten in their last 13 meetings with Poland, most recently defeating them 2-1 at Euro 2024. Poland’s last victory over the Dutch dates all the way back to 1979.

With that record in mind, Koeman’s side are expected to control the game through midfield fluidity and attacking sharpness. Poland, however, may offer more resilience than in recent outings, particularly if Lewandowski returns to lead the attack. Their best chance lies in staying compact defensively and capitalizing on set pieces.

Predictions

While Poland are capable of producing moments of grit and determination, the Dutch are simply in stronger form and boast far greater depth. The historical trend also favors the Oranje, especially on home soil. Analysts see this as an opportunity for the Netherlands to not only consolidate their place at the top of the group but also to send a statement about their ambitions for 2026.

Final Prediction: Netherlands 3–0 Poland