Portugal vs Latvia – EuroBasket 2025 Preview & Prediction: 1/9/2025

In a pivotal Group A matchup of EuroBasket 2025, Portugal will take on host nation Latvia at Xiaomi Arena in Riga, with tip-off likely scheduled around mid-afternoon local time. Both teams bring compelling stories to the court: Portugal aims to build on their surprising resurgence, while Latvia looks to capitalize on home-court advantage with star power and fervent fan support.

Portugal Preview

Portugal returns to the EuroBasket stage after a long hiatus, marking their third appearance overall and first since 2011. The team enters with momentum, having secured a qualifier spot with strong performances and stunning pre-tournament results—including a historic win over Spain. The focal point is Neemias Queta, who posted a double-double in Portugal’s first EuroBasket victory in 18 years. Alongside him, leadership from players like Rafael Lisboa has helped foster belief and national pride.

Portugal’s style is high-energy and team-driven. They rely on frontcourt strength from Queta, mid-range execution, and catch-and-shoot accuracy from guards. Their underdog mentality often fuels spirited defensive effort and hustle plays that can disrupt established opponents.

Latvia Preview

Latvia enters as one of four tournament hosts and last won the EuroBasket in 1935—now motivated to rewrite history on home soil. They boast a core built around NBA veteran Kristaps Porziņģis, who returns to the national setup with the opportunity to spark a homebound championship push.

Coached under a system combining structured spacing and fast transitions, Latvia aims to use their size, perimeter shooting, and crowd atmosphere to overwhelm opponents. Porziņģis’s presence opens driving lanes and inside-out options, while their deep supporting cast brings athleticism and shooting from all positions.

Tactical Battle Considerations

• Paint Control: Queta brings physicality and interior defense—Latvia counters with Porziņģis’s spacing and rim threat.
• Game Rhythm: Portugal prefers up-tempo, boarding on hustle; Latvia can shift tempo with structured offense and deep rotations.
• Home Atmosphere: Latvia’s energy and practicality advantage may influence momentum, particularly if the game stretches into the final quarter.

Prediction & Score Projection

Projected Score:
Latvia 85 – Portugal 78

Portugal’s energy and Queta’s inside dominance will make them competitive early, especially if they capitalize off turnovers. However, Latvia’s home advantage, shooting range, and Porziņģis’s leadership should swing the game in their favor through the second half.

X-Factor: Latvia’s ability to control the glass and extend possessions when Portugal pushes pace.