Alexander Zverev vs Jacob Fearnley Prediction, Stats, Odds & Tips: 29/8/2025 – ATP US Open

Third seed Alexander Zverev continues his pursuit of a first Grand Slam crown at the US Open, where he next faces unseeded Brit Jacob Fearnley. This will be their third meeting of the season, and the second time they square off on a major stage. With Zverev eyeing another deep run in New York and Fearnley seeking a breakthrough against a top-10 player, the matchup carries both intrigue and clear stakes.

Zverev’s Steady Start at Flushing Meadows

Zverev opened his campaign with minimal fuss, cruising past Alejandro Tabilo in straight sets. The win marked his 44th victory of the season and stretched his remarkable record of avoiding a first-round exit in New York to eight consecutive appearances. A finalist here in 2020, the German has now reached at least the quarterfinals in each of his last four US Open outings, underscoring his consistency on hard courts. His commanding form this season, including 20 wins from 26 matches on this surface, makes him one of the leading contenders for the title.

Fearnley’s Battle for Recognition

Jacob Fearnley, playing in his first US Open, had to grind through a four-set opener against veteran Roberto Bautista Agut. The 22-year-old has enjoyed solid Slam runs this season, with third-round finishes at both the Australian Open and Roland Garros. Now ranked just outside the top 50, Fearnley enters this match with a 27-21 record but remains without a win against a top-10 opponent. Having lost both previous encounters with Zverev this year—each in straight sets on hard courts—he will look to turn the tide with nothing to lose and plenty to prove.

Head-to-Head and Key Factors

Zverev’s dominance in this matchup is clear: two wins from two meetings in 2025, both on the same surface they’ll play on in New York. His big-serve and baseline consistency have consistently neutralized Fearnley’s aggressive style. Adding to that, Fearnley has struggled with form recently, dropping seven of his last ten matches. Unless he can find a way to disrupt Zverev’s rhythm, history suggests another uphill battle.

Prediction: Zverev in Straight Sets

The odds heavily favor Zverev, with bookmakers giving him nearly an 80% chance of victory compared to Fearnley’s 20%. Given his track record at the US Open and his perfect head-to-head record against the Brit, Zverev looks set to progress with little resistance. Expect the German to control proceedings from start to finish, advancing to the third round in straight sets as he continues his quest for a maiden major.

Prediction: Alexander Zverev to win 3:0 (straight sets).