Alaves vs Atl. Madrid Prediction, Preview, News, Odds: 30/8/2025

Deportivo Alavés welcome Atlético Madrid to the Estadio de Mendizorroza on August 30 in a contest that could prove pivotal in shaping the early LaLiga landscape. For Alavés, the opening weeks have offered optimism after last year’s relegation scare.

Eduardo Coudet’s men opened their campaign with a spirited 2-1 victory over Levante, with Toni Martínez and Nahuel Tenaglia grabbing the goals. The summer arrivals of Carles Aleñà and Mariano Díaz have added depth and versatility, while the midfield trio of Blanco, Guridi, and Ibáñez continues to provide both grit and creativity. The Basque side’s more structured play suggests they are building a stronger foundation this season.

Atlético Madrid, by contrast, enter this clash under pressure. Diego Simeone’s squad has been reshaped over the summer, with high-profile signings like Julián Álvarez, Thiago Almada, and Giacomo Raspadori expected to revitalize the attack. Álvarez already showcased his quality with a spectacular free-kick goal, but Atleti’s 2-1 loss to Espanyol exposed familiar issues with consistency and defensive fragility. The continued absence of José Giménez has left a gap at the back, and while Johnny Cardoso and Pablo Barrios have brought new energy into midfield, Simeone’s men have yet to settle into a rhythm.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Edge

Recent history slightly favors Atlético, who have claimed three wins in the last five meetings between the sides. However, Alavés have been stubborn at home, highlighted by their 2-0 victory over Atleti in April 2024 and a 0-0 draw in their latest encounter. This season’s early numbers suggest a tight affair: Alavés have conceded only once in three matches, while Atlético’s defense has already been breached three times in two games. Coudet’s compact defensive shape will look to frustrate Simeone’s evolving high press, setting the stage for a tactical duel where efficiency in front of goal could decide the outcome.

Prediction

While Atlético possess the star power to turn games in their favor, their transitional struggles and defensive vulnerabilities give Alavés a realistic chance to strike. Expect Toni Martínez to pose problems once again, with Aleñà pulling strings in midfield. Julián Álvarez remains Atleti’s main threat, but his efforts may fall short against a disciplined home side.

A 2-1 win for Alavés feels like the most plausible outcome, though another low-scoring affair cannot be ruled out. With both teams still finding their footing, this fixture could well be remembered as a defining test of resilience early in the campaign.

Prediction: Alaves 0:0 Atl. Madrid