Lucia Bronzetti vs Coco Gauff Prediction, Stats, Betting Tips: 14/8/2025

Second seed Cori Gauff will meet unseeded Italian Lucia Bronzetti in the fourth round of the 2025 Cincinnati Open, marking their second career clash at tour level. The match comes with contrasting storylines — Gauff arrives as a proven champion looking to build momentum ahead of the US Open, while Bronzetti is enjoying one of her best-ever runs at a WTA 1000 event.

Bronzetti has equalled her career-best performance at this tournament tier, battling through three consecutive matches that all went the distance. Her latest win was a notable upset over 23rd seed Jelena Ostapenko, pushing her live ranking up to 56th. She now faces the toughest test of her campaign, aiming to overturn a losing streak and improve on her current 18-match win tally for the year.

Gauff Chasing Another Title in Familiar Territory

Gauff’s path to this round was eased when Dayana Yastremska withdrew, handing her a walkover. That extra rest could prove valuable as she sets her sights on a deep run. The American has fond memories in Cincinnati, having lifted the trophy in 2023 — the same year she went on to capture the US Open.

So far in 2025, the world No. 2 has compiled an impressive 34–11 record, highlighted by her French Open victory and runner-up finishes in both Madrid and Rome. On hard courts this season, she has claimed 16 wins in 22 outings, reinforcing her credentials as one of the most dangerous players on the surface.

Head-to-Head and Form Analysis

Gauff has a perfect record against Bronzetti, winning both previous meetings without dropping a set. The Italian has struggled against top-tier opponents this year, losing all four of her matches against top-10 players in straight sets. In contrast, seven of Gauff’s last 11 victories have been sealed in straight sets, underlining her ability to dominate matches.

Bookmakers reflect this disparity: Bet365 gives Bronzetti a 26.39% chance of victory (odds of 8.00), while William Hill rates Gauff’s chances at 73.61% (odds of 1.10).

Prediction

Given the head-to-head history, current form, and Gauff’s proven success on hard courts, she enters this match as the overwhelming favorite. Bronzetti’s resilience in earlier rounds will give her belief, but her track record against elite opponents suggests she faces a steep challenge here.

Prediction: Gauff to cover the -6.5 games spread. Expect the American to assert control early, maintain her perfect record against Bronzetti, and move one step closer to another Cincinnati title.