Mallorca vs Barcelona Prediction, Standings, News, Odds: 16/8/2025

Barcelona return to the Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys for a high-stakes clash against Mallorca, looking to solidify their position at the top of the LaLiga table. Hansi Flick’s men are still buzzing from their thrilling 4-3 comeback win over Celta Vigo, secured by a last-minute penalty from Raphinha deep into stoppage time. With 88 goals in 32 league matches, the Catalan giants are on track to break the 100-goal mark this season.

However, they will have to navigate this match without Robert Lewandowski, who is sidelined with a hamstring injury. This places the attacking responsibility on Ferran Torres, Lamine Yamal, and Raphinha. In midfield, Pedri and Dani Olmo are expected to dictate play, while Marc-André ter Stegen makes his return in goal.

Mallorca’s European Push Amid Injury Setbacks

Mallorca, led by Jagoba Arrasate, have been one of the season’s surprise packages. Rising from a 15th-place finish last year to currently sitting seventh, they are now in the hunt for a Europa League spot. Their recent run includes a gritty 0-0 stalemate with Leganés and an impressive 2-0 victory away at Real Sociedad.

Despite this momentum, they face significant selection problems. Star forward Vedat Muriqi, attacker Takuma Asano, and midfielder Manu Morlanes are unavailable through injury, while Pablo Maffeo and Dani Rodríguez serve suspensions for yellow card accumulation. Arrasate is likely to adopt a defensive 5-4-1 formation, with Predrag Rajković (or Roman) in goal and Cyle Larin as the lone striker.

Historical Head-to-Head and Tactical Context

Mallorca’s track record against Barcelona offers little encouragement. Their last league win over the Catalans came in 2009, and earlier this season they suffered a 5-1 defeat in the reverse fixture. Away trips to face Barça—whether at Camp Nou or Montjuïc—have rarely been fruitful, with most ending in comfortable home victories.

Barcelona, however, will need to balance their squad carefully. With a Copa del Rey final and Champions League semi-final on the horizon, Flick may consider light rotation. This could give Mallorca a window of opportunity to frustrate the hosts, especially if they can maintain defensive discipline in the early stages.

Prediction

Mallorca’s away form has been poor in recent LaLiga fixtures, losing eight of their last ten and failing to score in four straight on the road. Barcelona have not been flawless themselves but remain strong at home, particularly in league play.

Given Barça’s attacking options and Mallorca’s depleted squad, the Catalans are expected to control possession and create the majority of chances. While Mallorca’s defensive shape may hold early on, the quality and depth of Barcelona’s forward line should eventually break through.

Prediction: Mallorca 1:3 Barcelona