Damir Dzumhur vs Stan Wawrinka Prediction, Stats, Tips, Odds: 23/7/2025

Stan Wawrinka continues his impressive run on the ATP circuit, even at 40 years old. The Swiss veteran faces a formidable opponent in Damir Dzumhur, the tournament’s fourth seed, in the second round of the 2025 Croatia Open in Umag. As the action heats up on the outdoor clay courts, all eyes will be on whether the seasoned Wawrinka can overcome the rankings gap and make another deep run.

Wawrinka is no stranger to success in Umag. He claimed the title here nearly two decades ago and returned to the final just last year. Currently ranked 149th in the live ATP standings, the former world number three eased through his opening match, conceding just five games to qualifier Alvaro Guillen Meza.

A Look at Their Form and Head-to-Head

Wawrinka has had a mixed season on clay, splitting his 22 matches evenly with 11 wins and 11 losses. Prior to his victory in the first round, he had dropped five consecutive ATP matches on this surface. His record against Dzumhur stands at 2-2, but the only time they faced off on clay was back in 2018 — a match Dzumhur won.

Dzumhur enters the second round without playing a match in Umag, courtesy of a first-round bye. The 33-year-old Bosnian is coming off a strong performance in Bastad last week, where he advanced to the quarter-finals — a sign that he’s in good form on clay.

With an 18-14 record on clay this season, Dzumhur has shown solid consistency. He’s won four of his last six matches on this surface, giving him a clear edge heading into the encounter with Wawrinka.

Stakes and Implications

The winner of this clash will advance to the quarter-finals, where they’ll meet either eighth seed Vit Kopriva or France’s Titouan Droguet. For Wawrinka, progressing further would mark his first quarter-final appearance at an ATP Tour event this season — a milestone that has eluded him so far in 2025. Despite his age, Wawrinka remains committed to the sport, though victories at this level have become increasingly elusive.

Dzumhur, meanwhile, is eyeing what would be his third ATP quarter-final of the year. He also impressed at Roland Garros earlier in the season, managing to take a set from eventual champion Carlos Alcaraz in the third round before bowing out.

Betting Odds

Analysts are tipping Dzumhur to win this match, given his recent performances and superior ranking. Bookmakers seem to agree:

• Dzumhur has a 61.89% chance of winning, with odds of 1.70 at 22bet.
• Wawrinka holds a 38.11% chance, with odds of 2.22 at Betobet.
• Key Stats to Consider:
• Wawrinka is 89 spots below Dzumhur in the live ATP rankings.
• He has not advanced past the second round in any ATP event this year.
• Dzumhur reached the Bastad quarter-finals just last week.
• Wawrinka has lost five of his last six matches on clay at the tour level.

Prediction

Although Wawrinka boasts a celebrated career and past success in Umag, his recent form and results suggest he may struggle against a more in-form and younger opponent. Dzumhur’s current momentum, combined with his solid clay record this year, makes him the likely winner in this encounter.

Prediction: Damir Dzumhur to win