Iga Swiatek vs Liudmila Samsonova Prediction, Preview, Betting tips, Odds: 9/7/2025

Iga Swiatek and Liudmila Samsonova are set to clash in the Wimbledon quarter-finals, both aiming to break new ground by reaching their maiden semi-final at the prestigious grass-court tournament. Swiatek, seeded eighth, takes on 19th seed Samsonova, with the winner set to face either Mirra Andreeva or Belinda Bencic in the final four.

Swiatek Builds Momentum on Grass

Swiatek has continued her solid 2025 campaign by adapting well to the grass surface, which has historically been a weaker area of her game. Her runner-up finish at the Bad Homburg Open, where she lost in the final to Jessica Pegula, was a clear signal of her growing comfort on grass courts.

Currently ranked fourth in the live WTA standings, Swiatek has dropped just one set en route to the last eight—against Caty McNally in the second round. In her most recent outing, the former world No. 1 dispatched Clara Tauson in straight sets, showcasing strong control and rhythm from the baseline.

Samsonova Reaches Grand Slam Milestone

For Liudmila Samsonova, this quarter-final appearance marks a significant milestone—the first Grand Slam last-eight showing of her career. The Russian, who has climbed to 17th in the live rankings, could break into the top 12 with a victory over Swiatek.

Samsonova has been rock-solid through her Wimbledon campaign, winning all her matches in straight sets. Her fourth-round victory over Jessica Bouzas Maneiro was tightly contested, but the 26-year-old held firm to prevail 7-5, 7-5. While she has yet to defeat Swiatek in four previous encounters, this will be their first meeting on grass—offering a potential change in dynamics.

Head-to-Head and Prediction

Swiatek dominates the head-to-head record, holding a 4-0 lead over Samsonova. Their last three matches have all ended in straight-set wins for Swiatek, with Samsonova managing to win just ten games in total across those encounters. This history, coupled with Swiatek’s recent rise in confidence on grass, places her as the clear favourite.

According to betting markets, Swiatek has a 68.29% chance of victory, with odds of 1.4 at 22bet. Samsonova, meanwhile, is given a 31.71% chance, with longer odds of 3.3 at William Hill.

Key Match Insights

• Swiatek leads 4–0 in their previous meetings.
• Samsonova has lost the last three matchups to Swiatek without taking a set.
• Swiatek is 6–1 on grass this year, including her run to the Bad Homburg final.
• This is Samsonova’s first Grand Slam quarter-final appearance.

Both players have had a strong Wimbledon so far, but based on form, experience, and head-to-head dominance, Swiatek looks set to take another step toward lifting her first Wimbledon title.

Prediction

Swiatek’s improved movement and shot selection on grass make her a formidable opponent in this stage of the tournament. With her composure and power game translating well across surfaces, she looks well-positioned to secure a semi-final spot.

Match Prediction: Iga Swiatek to win in straight sets.