Brazil vs Paraguay Prediction, Preview, News, Lineups: 11/6/2025

Brazil and Paraguay are scheduled to face off in a pivotal CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifying match on Wednesday, June 11, 2025, at 01:45 local time. The clash, set to unfold on matchday 16, features two top-five teams fighting for direct qualification to the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Brazil, currently in fourth place, trail third-placed Paraguay by just two points, increasing the stakes for both sides.

Brazil Overview

Brazil enters the contest with 22 points after 15 matches, having registered 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses. The team has scored 20 goals and conceded 16, reflecting an uncharacteristically mixed campaign for the historically dominant nation. At home, however, Brazil has performed more consistently, with four wins, two draws, and only one defeat at their home venues.

Brazil’s recent run of results includes just one win in their last five games, with three draws and one defeat. Their most recent outing ended in a goalless draw against Ecuador on the road. Paraguay, meanwhile, are unbeaten in their last five qualifiers, having collected three wins and two draws. Their latest fixture saw them defeat Uruguay 2-0 at home, underlining their current momentum.

Brazil, now guided by experienced Italian manager Carlo Ancelotti, are expected to rely on a balanced tactical setup that emphasizes structure and calculated attacking play. Ancelotti’s leadership marks a significant shift from the fast-paced styles seen in previous Brazil squads. With a deep pool of attacking talent and home support, Brazil will look to assert control early and limit Paraguay’s ability to counter.

Paraguay Overview

Paraguay, on the other hand, have amassed 24 points from 15 matches, boasting 6 wins, 6 draws, and just 3 defeats. Their defensive organization has been a standout feature, with only 9 goals conceded — one of the lowest tallies in the qualification zone — while scoring 13. This solid goal difference has helped them maintain third place in a tightly contested group.

The last encounter between these two sides in the qualification campaign ended in a 1-0 win for Paraguay, which adds an extra edge to the rematch as Brazil look to respond on home soil.

Paraguay, managed by Daniel Garnero, have adopted a pragmatic and disciplined approach throughout the qualifiers. Their defensive setup has been effective against stronger teams, and their ability to frustrate attacking sides has yielded valuable points. Despite this, Paraguay’s away record remains winless, with five draws and two losses, suggesting vulnerability on the road.

In terms of betting markets, Brazil are priced at 1.40 for a home win at Paripesa. A draw is available at 4.94, and an away victory for Paraguay is offered at 9.65, both at 1win. The “Both Teams to Score” market leans toward “No,” with odds of 1.57 from Melbet, reflecting the expectation of a defensively tight match.

Brazil have the stronger historical record in recent meetings, with four wins out of the last five head-to-head matches, while Paraguay have taken one victory. No draws have occurred between the two sides in that span, indicating a tendency for clear outcomes.

Prediction

Given the qualification implications, Brazil will be highly motivated to secure maximum points to reinforce their position and avoid slipping into the playoff zone. Paraguay, despite their impressive form, face the challenge of turning solid home results into away successes.

In summary, this matchup offers a compelling blend of urgency, tactical contrast, and individual talent. While Paraguay have defied expectations this cycle, Brazil’s home advantage and superior squad depth give them the edge. A 3-1 result in favor of the hosts appears the most probable outcome based on recent form, historical data, and match context.

Prediction: Brazil 3:1 Paraguay