Roma vs Milan Preview, Prediction and betting odds: 18/5/2025

AS Roma and AC Milan are preparing for a pivotal Serie A clash on Sunday, May 18, with kickoff set for 14:00 at the Stadio Olimpico. As the season nears its end, both clubs remain in contention for European football next season, making this Matchday 37 encounter one of vital importance.

Roma currently occupy sixth place with 63 points, holding a narrow edge over Milan, who sit in eighth with 60 points. The outcome of this fixture could directly impact the final European qualification slots, particularly with only one round of matches remaining after this one.

Roma Overview

AS Roma have shown strong form throughout the season, winning 18 of their 35 league matches while drawing 9 and losing 8. Their goal differential stands at +18, with 50 goals scored and 32 conceded—a reflection of balance in both offense and defense. Their form at home has been a key factor in their success, where they have secured 12 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses at the Stadio Olimpico.

In their previous outing, Roma suffered a 2-1 defeat away to Atalanta, halting a positive run that included three wins and a draw in their last four matches. Despite the loss, they remain one of the more consistent sides in the race for European qualification.

Manager Claudio Ranieri, known for his measured and adaptable tactical approach, has maintained a structured defensive strategy while deploying pace in transition. His experience in high-pressure environments could prove decisive in navigating the final weeks of the season.

Milan Overview

AC Milan come into this match on the back of a strong 3-1 home win over Bologna, a result that kept their European hopes alive. Their overall record this season includes 17 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats, with 58 goals scored and 40 conceded. Milan’s attacking statistics point to a high-tempo style, though defensive lapses have occasionally cost them.

The Rossoneri have rediscovered form at a critical moment, winning four of their last five matches in all competitions. Their only defeat during that stretch came against a top-five opponent, highlighting their recent resurgence under new head coach Sérgio Conceição.

The Portuguese manager has introduced a more aggressive, press-driven approach, with a focus on rapid transitions and high energy. Milan’s improvements in attacking organization and midfield dynamism have been evident in recent performances and could present problems for Roma’s backline.

Head-to-Head Record and Recent Meetings

The previous encounter between the two sides ended in a 3-1 home win for Milan. However, over the last five competitive meetings, Roma hold the upper hand with three victories, one draw, and one loss. This track record may provide Roma with a psychological advantage ahead of this high-pressure fixture.

Both teams have shown solid recent form. Roma’s last five matches have resulted in three wins, one draw, and one defeat, while Milan have secured four wins in the same span. The similarity in performance suggests a closely contested battle is likely.

Betting Analysis and Odds Overview

In the betting markets, Roma are priced as narrow favorites, with odds of 2.01 for a home win available through 1win. A draw is offered at 3.83, while an away victory for Milan stands at 3.90. These odds reflect the evenly matched nature of the fixture, influenced by Roma’s home strength and Milan’s improved run of form.

One of the most popular betting selections is “Both Teams to Score,” which is priced at 1.65 with Paripesa. Given the offensive records of both clubs and the high stakes involved, a goal from each side is a plausible outcome.

Punters seeking greater returns may explore handicap markets or total goals bets, particularly over 2.5 goals, given the recent trend of high-scoring encounters between these teams. Several top betting platforms are also offering welcome bonus packages, including free bets on initial deposits—ideal for those placing wagers on this match.

Prediction

As Roma and Milan prepare to clash in the Italian capital, the stakes could not be higher. Roma’s solid home performances and tactical cohesion give them an edge, but Milan’s revitalization under Conceição ensures this will not be a straightforward contest.

The likely scenario is a competitive, end-to-end fixture where both teams find the net. While Roma’s structure and recent head-to-head advantage favor the hosts, Milan’s momentum and urgency may tilt the balance in their favor.

Prediction: AS Roma 2–3 AC Milan