The 37th round of the 2024–25 Primera División will witness a pivotal showdown between Sevilla FC and Real Madrid on Sunday, May 18, with kickoff scheduled for 18:00 local time at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium. This fixture features two clubs at opposite ends of the table—Sevilla battling to avoid relegation and Real Madrid continuing their pursuit of the league title.
Sevilla sit in 16th place with 38 points from 35 matches and face immense pressure to secure a result. Meanwhile, Real Madrid occupy second place with 75 points and remain within reach of first, making this match critical for both sides.
Sevilla Overview
Sevilla FC enter the final stretch of the campaign just above the relegation zone, having collected only one win in their last five games across all competitions. Their recent run includes two draws and two defeats, underscoring their ongoing struggles. While they recently picked up a narrow 1-0 home victory over Las Palmas, the opponent’s similar league position lessens the impact of the result.
At home, Sevilla’s form has been inconsistent, registering five wins, six draws, and six defeats from 17 matches. These statistics reflect a vulnerability that could be exploited by stronger opponents. Manager Joaquín Caparrós, known for his tactical pragmatism and experience under pressure, will need to craft a resilient game plan to counter Madrid’s firepower.
The Andalusian side will likely focus on a compact defensive structure and aim to capitalize on set pieces or counter-attacks. With the stakes high, the pressure to perform in front of home support could either galvanize or weigh heavily on the squad.
Real Madrid Overview
Real Madrid approach the match following a 4-3 defeat to Barcelona in a high-scoring El Clásico. Despite the loss, their attacking display in that game showcased the squad’s offensive depth and creativity. With 23 wins, six draws, and six losses this season, Madrid remain in strong contention at the top end of the table.
Their away form has been steady, with nine wins, five draws, and four defeats on the road. Head coach Carlo Ancelotti will be determined to respond positively to the Clásico setback and will likely emphasize control of possession and aggressive pressing high up the pitch. The Italian manager’s wealth of experience and tactical knowledge will be key as Real Madrid look to maintain title pressure.
Madrid’s strength lies not only in individual brilliance but also in their ability to rotate effectively without sacrificing quality. Ancelotti’s options in midfield and attack offer multiple routes to goal, making them a difficult side to contain over 90 minutes.
Previous Meetings and Statistical Edge
The last encounter between these two teams ended in a 4-2 win for Real Madrid at home. Reviewing the past five meetings in all competitions, Madrid hold a commanding edge with four wins and one draw. Sevilla have failed to claim a single victory during that stretch, highlighting the uphill task they face this weekend.
Recent performances add further context. Sevilla have recorded just one win in their last five outings, while Real Madrid have notched three victories despite suffering two losses. Though not at their peak, Madrid’s form still places them above their hosts in consistency.
Betting Outlook
According to top bookmakers, Real Madrid are clear favorites to win. Odds for an away victory are priced at 1.65, while a Sevilla win stands at 5.09. A draw is valued at 4.73. Given Madrid’s superior record and Sevilla’s inconsistent form, a straight win for the visitors is a logical betting position.
Another common market is both teams to score, priced at 1.62. With Sevilla’s urgency to attack and Madrid’s attacking firepower, this option appears promising. Bettors might also consider handicap markets favoring Real Madrid or backing over 2.5 goals, given the scoring trends in recent head-to-head fixtures.
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Prediction
As the season nears its end, this fixture carries significant implications for both clubs. Sevilla are desperate to secure points and escape relegation danger, while Real Madrid remain focused on applying pressure at the top of the table. While Sevilla may pose a threat through grit and urgency, Madrid’s superior squad depth and proven track record against their opponents make them firm favorites.
Expect an open contest where both teams score, but Real Madrid’s attacking precision and tactical cohesion are likely to decide the result.
Prediction: Sevilla 1–3 Real Madrid