Analysis: US Influence Dwindles as Israel’s War Expands

Israel’s anticipated military push into Lebanon marks a significant shift, underscoring a year-long conflict that reveals the diminished ability of the United States to control its ally or sway other key combatants in an escalating regional crisis.

On Monday, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu advanced his campaign against Hezbollah with a so-called “limited ground operation” in Lebanon. This action came despite prolonged pleas from Washington for Israel to show restraint and continued, albeit ignored, calls for de-escalation.

This development occurred shortly after President Joe Biden expressed his support for an immediate ceasefire when queried about recent Israeli special forces operations in southern Lebanon. “I’m comfortable with them stopping,” Biden stated.

His remarks highlighted a growing rift between the U.S. and Israeli administrations. On the same day, Netanyahu boldly proclaimed to the Iranians in a televised message that “Israel can reach anywhere in the Middle East.”

This widening gap between the two governments aligns with the closing stages of a tense U.S. election, where Biden faces restricted political leeway to manage the war’s domestic implications without causing further upheaval. This situation is something Netanyahu, who is adept at navigating U.S. political waters, is likely very aware of. Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic nominee, has generally adhered to the administration’s position, despite previous statements suggesting a possibly firmer approach towards Netanyahu and a focus on the hardships faced by Palestinian civilians.