Real Madrid has struggled significantly in their recent away games, securing only one point from a possible 27 and conceding 23 goals during this poor stretch. In contrast, Atlético Madrid has enjoyed robust performances at home, winning 16 out of their last 19 LaLiga matches.
Historically, matches between these two teams have typically featured fewer than 3.5 goals, with this being the case in 13 of their last 14 league encounters. The only exception was an Atlético victory at Real Madrid’s ground in November. Atlético themselves have been consistent in this trend, with their last 16 home games in LaLiga all ending with no more than three goals.
Despite Real Madrid’s defensive challenges, they have managed to find the back of the net frequently. In their last 17 LaLiga matches, they’ve both scored and conceded in 13 games, indicating their matches are not dull affairs. Atlético, too, has seen games without clean sheets, with 12 of their last 15 top-flight games ending with both teams scoring.
Prediction
Looking at recent patterns, Atlético Madrid’s last 12 LaLiga games have included nine instances of under 3.5 goals, a trend evident in their last four matches. Real Madrid shows a similar pattern, with 17 of their last 19 league matches also featuring fewer than four goals. This upcoming encounter is likely to follow suit.
Prediction: Atlético Madrid 1, Real Madrid 1