Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Prediction: 14/7/2024

Defending champion and third seed Carlos Alcaraz will face second seed Novak Djokovic in the Wimbledon final. This marks the first repeat of the previous year’s final since 2015. Can Alcaraz defeat Djokovic in the final for the second consecutive year?

Both players have faced challenges on their path to this grass court Grand Slam final. Not since 2004, when Roger Federer won his second Wimbledon men’s singles title, has a first-time winner retained their title. Regardless of the match outcome, Jannik Sinner will remain the world number one, with Djokovic in second place and Alcaraz in third.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic: Form Analysis

Novak Djokovic is making his tenth appearance in a Wimbledon final, aiming for his eighth men’s singles title, which would tie Roger Federer’s record. A victory would also extend Djokovic’s record to 25 Grand Slam titles and mark his 99th tournament win.

Djokovic has only lost two of his nine previous finals, one of which was last year to Alcaraz in five sets. The last player to lose two consecutive Wimbledon men’s singles finals was Roger Federer in 2015.

This final is Djokovic’s first of the year. Despite initial doubts due to a knee injury that forced his withdrawal from Roland Garros, Djokovic declared himself fit and has reached the final without further issues. He has only had to play five matches, as his quarter-final opponent Alex de Minaur withdrew. Djokovic dropped sets in two matches, against Jacob Fearnley and Alexei Popyrin, but won his semi-final against Lorenzo Musetti in straight sets.

Carlos Alcaraz trails 3-2 in their head-to-head record with Djokovic. The Spaniard, who was eight years old when Djokovic first won Wimbledon, has lost both matches against Djokovic since winning last year’s final.

Alcaraz’s journey to the final hasn’t been easy. He won his first two matches in straight sets but needed five sets to overcome Frances Tiafoe. Ugo Humbert and Tommy Paul also took a set off him in the fourth round and quarter-finals, respectively. In a tough semi-final match against Daniil Medvedev, Alcaraz lost the first set but rallied to win the next three. We predict Alcaraz will win the final, with both players taking at least one set.

Carlos Alcaraz & Novak Djokovic: Fitness and Squad Analysis

Djokovic’s participation was in doubt due to a knee injury, but he has reached the final without aggravating the issue. Alcaraz has not reported any fitness problems but has played over four hours more and one additional match compared to Djokovic to reach the final.

Our Prediction for Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic

We anticipate another thrilling Wimbledon men’s singles final. Although it’s a repeat of the 2023 final, we expect a different outcome. Alcaraz has shown resilience, battling back after dropping sets in his last four matches.

This fighting spirit leads us to favor Carlos Alcaraz. Despite Djokovic’s strong performance in his semi-final against Lorenzo Musetti, he has yet to defeat Alcaraz on grass.

Our prediction is for Carlos Alcaraz to win, with both players winning at least one set.