Israel has announced that its recent military operations have significantly disrupted Iran’s nuclear program, claiming a setback of at least two to three years. The assessment follows a series of airstrikes conducted by Israel targeting critical military and nuclear infrastructure within Iranian territory.
This offensive, launched in mid-June, marks one of the most comprehensive aerial campaigns in recent years, aimed at dismantling Tehran’s ability to develop nuclear weapons—an ambition that Iranian authorities have consistently denied.
According to Israeli officials, the operation has involved the use of advanced aircraft and electronic warfare systems to hit missile storage depots, launch facilities, and uranium enrichment centers. Strategic targets have included sites in Natanz, Fordo, Isfahan, and Karaj, with some facilities sustaining significant damage, particularly those connected to uranium processing. Israeli military sources assert that these strikes are part of a broader objective to neutralize any near-term threat posed by Iran’s nuclear program.
The Israeli foreign minister reaffirmed that military operations would persist as long as necessary to remove what is viewed as an existential threat. He also indicated that Israel’s actions have not only hindered enrichment activity but have also eliminated key figures associated with Iran’s military and nuclear development.
Mounting Civilian Toll and Deteriorating Diplomatic Climate
The ongoing conflict has led to substantial human and material losses. Independent monitoring groups report that over 650 individuals have been killed in Iran since the beginning of the Israeli campaign, including military personnel, civilians, and individuals identified as nuclear scientists. Iran has not released updated casualty figures since its last official count earlier in the week, which reported at least 224 fatalities.
In response to the Israeli strikes, Iran has launched over 450 missiles and approximately 400 drones at Israeli targets. While Israel’s air defense systems have intercepted many of these, several have landed in urban areas, resulting in casualties and damage to infrastructure. A hospital in the Israeli city of Haifa reported numerous injuries following the most recent Iranian attacks, including several individuals in serious condition.
The conflict has also created a visible impact on daily life in both nations. Tehran has seen a sharp decline in commercial activity, with markets closed and streets largely deserted. In Israel, air raid alerts continue to disrupt civilian routines, and emergency services remain on high alert.
Efforts to resume diplomacy have faltered. A recent meeting in Geneva between European representatives and the Iranian deputy foreign minister failed to revive negotiations. While European officials urged Iran to re-engage in dialogue with the United States regardless of ongoing military action, the Iranian side refused to consider further talks unless hostilities ceased.
The U.S. administration, meanwhile, has indicated that it may consider direct military involvement if Iran does not de-escalate within two weeks. President Trump has dismissed European mediation efforts, arguing that Iran prefers direct engagement with the United States. He also signaled reluctance to pressure Israel into halting its strikes, stating that intervening while Israel is achieving its military objectives would be counterproductive.
Military analysts note that if the United States were to enter the conflict, it could deploy advanced bunker-busting munitions capable of penetrating fortified sites such as Iran’s underground facility at Fordo. While some damage to Fordo has been reported above ground, experts believe core enrichment operations remain intact, requiring more forceful intervention to be fully neutralized.
Iran continues to enrich uranium to 60 percent purity, a level well beyond civilian use and approaching weapons-grade. Although international nuclear watchdogs confirm that Iran has not assembled all the components required to produce a nuclear weapon, the trajectory of its program remains a cause for concern. There are growing fears that continued conflict could further accelerate clandestine efforts, particularly if international oversight is obstructed.
The broader regional impact is also taking shape. Iran’s allies in Syria and Yemen have made threatening statements, including warnings of potential attacks on Western assets in the region. Several embassies in Tehran, including that of Switzerland, have temporarily closed as a precautionary measure. The Organization of Islamic Cooperation is convening an emergency session to address the rising tension.
As both sides prepare for prolonged confrontation, international actors are warning of the risks of regional escalation. The current standoff, while centered on nuclear capabilities, is rapidly evolving into a wider strategic contest that could destabilize the broader Middle East if left unchecked.