Writing about oil prices is always risky. In January 2015, I suggested that oil prices would not continue to fall, and even predicted that they would “finish...
This month, international media are understandably focused on the Chinese Communist Party’s 19th National Congress, a carefully choreographed event that will...
I recently took a trip to Switzerland – a remarkable country that I have been fortunate to visit many times over the past 40 years. In addition to...
Last week, Volvo issued an inspiring announcement: It will no longer produce gasoline- or diesel-fueled cars after 2019. Volvo executives may be anticipating...
If you were a Briton who had been stuck in Antarctica for the past year and a half, you might be forgiven for wishing you had stayed put. The decisions taken...
One of the more fascinating developments in the seven months since U.S. President Donald Trump was elected has been the trajectory of the U.S. dollar relative...
I am a proud Mancunian (as the people of Manchester are known), despite the fact I haven’t lived there permanently since I left school for university when I...
I have been out of the world of international finance and economic forecasting for more than four years, but much of what I learned during my 30 years working...
Here’s a reality check for British and American policymakers, and for the many pundits who frequently comment on world trade without understanding its...
Disconcerting political developments in the United States and the United Kingdom might lead one to conclude that an already challenged world economy will...
I was recently in beautiful Chile for a Futures Congress, and I had a chance to travel south to the very tip of Latin America. I also recently made a BBC...
A few days ago, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump took to Twitter – his medium of choice – to declare that he did not need China’s permission to contact...
I know from my 32 years in finance that the weird world of foreign-exchange markets can sometimes defy comprehension, and that trying to estimate sterling’s...
Two important events loom on the calendar this month: the United States’ presidential election on Nov. 8, and British Chancellor of the Exchequer Philip...
The uncertainty generated by the United Kingdom’s recent vote to leave the European Union – which has sent shockwaves through global markets – has been...
From the strict perspective of some investors, astute financial management by a company to bolster its share price is a good thing. By this narrow logic, when...
When the United Kingdom announced earlier last month that it had agreed to become a founding member of the China-led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank,...